Tag: The Upshot

Some Late Shifts, but Polls Remain Closest They’ve Ever Been The polls tend to err as a group in one direction or the other, so a fairly decisive win …

Some Surprises in Last Battleground Polls, but Still a Deadlock A rise for Kamala Harris in the Sun Belt, and a dip in the Northern swing states. By Nate …

Why Are Democrats Having Such a Hard Time Beating Trump? The national political environment just isn’t as conducive to a Harris victory as many might imagine. By Nate Cohn …

Flashback: Your Weekly History Quiz, Nov. 2, 2024 Can you sort 8 historical events? By Unknown Author from NYT (New York Times) The Upshot Read more.

So, Can We Trust the Polls? Recent changes add up to a case for cautious optimism on better accuracy, but that’s far from a guarantee. By Nate Cohn from …

Millions of Movers Reveal American Polarization in Action A detailed look at how — and why — voters who move are widening the gap between blue neighborhoods and red …

This Time, It May Actually Come Down to Turnout Democrats have gained among high-turnout voters, while Donald Trump has made gains among groups that tend to show up only …

State of the Race: National Polls Tighten With 8 Days to Go State polls remain steady, and two new polls in Texas and Nebraska show Senate control may still …

Trump’s Gains in New York City Offer Clues to a Shifting Electoral Map A new poll adds to evidence of post-pandemic divergences and a smaller Trump edge in the …

They Used to Be Ahead in the American Economy. Now They’ve Fallen Behind. One economic question that really matters in an election year: Are others doing better than you? …