Trump Believes ‘We Have a Deal’ on Gaza. But a Host of Obstacles Remain.

Former President Donald Trump asserted on Friday that “we have a deal” concerning the ongoing conflict in Gaza, suggesting a breakthrough in the protracted efforts to secure a ceasefire and hostage release. Speaking to supporters, Trump indicated his belief that an agreement had been reached, though he offered few specifics regarding its terms or the parties involved.

“I believe we have a deal on Gaza, a very strong deal. It’s a great deal for everyone involved, and I think it’s going to happen very quickly,” Trump stated, without elaborating on the source of his information or the nature of his involvement, if any.

The former president’s pronouncement comes amidst persistent diplomatic efforts by the United States, Qatar, and Egypt to mediate an end to the hostilities between Israel and Hamas. While negotiations have reportedly made some progress at various points, a definitive agreement has remained elusive, mired in deep-seated disagreements between the warring parties.

Persistent Obstacles to an Agreement

Despite Trump’s optimistic declaration, multiple significant obstacles continue to challenge the prospect of a firm and lasting deal. Key points of contention reportedly include the precise ratio and identity of Palestinian prisoners to be released in exchange for Israeli hostages, the duration of a potential ceasefire, and Hamas’s demand for a permanent cessation of hostilities, which Israel has repeatedly rejected.

A senior US official, speaking on condition of anonymity due to the sensitivity of ongoing negotiations, cautioned against premature celebrations. “While there’s always hope for progress, any claim of a completed deal needs to be viewed with extreme scrutiny. There are fundamental gaps that still need bridging, and intense work is ongoing on all sides,” the official commented.

Furthermore, internal political dynamics within both Israel and among Palestinian factions complicate any potential agreement. In Israel, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu faces pressure from right-wing elements of his government who oppose significant concessions, particularly regarding the release of high-profile Palestinian prisoners. On the Palestinian side, the various factions, including Hamas, must navigate internal consensus and maintain leverage for their core demands.

The logistical challenges of implementing a deal, including verification mechanisms for hostage releases and aid distribution, also present hurdles. The reconstruction of Gaza and the establishment of a post-conflict governance structure remain long-term issues that, while not necessarily part of an immediate ceasefire deal, weigh heavily on the minds of all parties involved in the broader peace process.

As international mediators continue their shuttle diplomacy, the gap between Trump’s confident assertion and the complex reality on the ground highlights the difficult path still ahead for any resolution to the conflict.

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